TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Franz Wagner

PTS

OVER 26.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

26.50

Player Average

22.20

Season: 23.00 | L5: 21.40

Deviation

+4.30

68% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.30 points BELOW where this player typically performs (22.20)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 22.20

Weighted 50/50: Season (23.00) + Last 5 games (21.40)

✓
Vegas line is 26.50

Significant 4.30-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 4.79

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 23.00
Last 5 Games Average 21.40
Vegas Line 26.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM