TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Davion Mitchell

PTS

OVER 11.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

11.50

Player Average

8.56

Season: 9.73 | L5: 7.40

Deviation

+2.94

63% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.94 points BELOW where this player typically performs (8.56)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 8.56

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.73) + Last 5 games (7.40)

✓
Vegas line is 11.50

Significant 2.94-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 4.42

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.73
Last 5 Games Average 7.40
Vegas Line 11.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM