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Simone Fontecchio

PTS

OVER 10.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

10.50

Player Average

8.12

Season: 10.05 | L5: 6.20

Deviation

+2.38

63% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.38 points BELOW where this player typically performs (8.12)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 8.12

Weighted 50/50: Season (10.05) + Last 5 games (6.20)

✓
Vegas line is 10.50

Significant 2.38-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 3.62

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 10.05
Last 5 Games Average 6.20
Vegas Line 10.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM