TakeFreePoints.com

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Nikola Jokić

PTS

OVER 33.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

33.50

Player Average

26.06

Season: 28.71 | L5: 23.40

Deviation

+7.44

66% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 7.44 points BELOW where this player typically performs (26.06)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 26.06

Weighted 50/50: Season (28.71) + Last 5 games (23.40)

✓
Vegas line is 33.50

Significant 7.44-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 9.12

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 28.71
Last 5 Games Average 23.40
Vegas Line 33.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM