TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Brandon Ingram

AST

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +125

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

3.71

Season: 3.83 | L5: 3.60

Deviation

+0.79

61% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.79 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.71)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 3.71

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.83) + Last 5 games (3.60)

Vegas line is 4.50

Small 0.79-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 1.40

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.83
Last 5 Games Average 3.60
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM