"Always take the free points"
PTS
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 4.05 points BELOW where this player typically performs (14.45)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (12.50) + Last 5 games (16.40)
Significant 4.05-point gap
Based on 18 games, std dev 6.03
bovada
Dec 05, 06:40 PM
Dec 05, 04:31 PM