TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Jaden Ivey

PTS

OVER 11.50
Medium Confidence +170

Vegas Line

11.50

Player Average

7.40

Season: 8.00 | L5: 6.80

Deviation

+4.10

67% signal

Sample Size

7

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.10 points BELOW where this player typically performs (7.40)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 7.40

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.00) + Last 5 games (6.80)

✓
Vegas line is 11.50

Significant 4.10-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 7 games, std dev 4.78

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.00
Last 5 Games Average 6.80
Vegas Line 11.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM