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T.J. McConnell

AST

OVER 6.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

4.91

Season: 4.42 | L5: 5.40

Deviation

+1.59

63% signal

Sample Size

12

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.59 points BELOW where this player typically performs (4.91)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 4.91

Weighted 50/50: Season (4.42) + Last 5 games (5.40)

✓
Vegas line is 6.50

Moderate 1.59-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 12 games, std dev 2.40

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 4.42
Last 5 Games Average 5.40
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM