TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Andrew Nembhard

PTS

OVER 19.50
Medium Confidence +210

Vegas Line

19.50

Player Average

15.88

Season: 17.36 | L5: 14.40

Deviation

+3.62

60% signal

Sample Size

14

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.62 points BELOW where this player typically performs (15.88)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 15.88

Weighted 50/50: Season (17.36) + Last 5 games (14.40)

✓
Vegas line is 19.50

Significant 3.62-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 14 games, std dev 6.82

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 17.36
Last 5 Games Average 14.40
Vegas Line 19.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM