TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Pascal Siakam

PTS

OVER 28.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

28.50

Player Average

22.80

Season: 24.00 | L5: 21.60

Deviation

+5.70

69% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 5.70 points BELOW where this player typically performs (22.80)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 22.80

Weighted 50/50: Season (24.00) + Last 5 games (21.60)

✓
Vegas line is 28.50

Significant 5.70-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 6.02

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 24.00
Last 5 Games Average 21.60
Vegas Line 28.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM