TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Josh Giddey

REB

OVER 11.50
Medium Confidence +170

Vegas Line

11.50

Player Average

9.90

Season: 10.00 | L5: 9.80

Deviation

+1.60

61% signal

Sample Size

19

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.60 points BELOW where this player typically performs (9.90)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 9.90

Weighted 50/50: Season (10.00) + Last 5 games (9.80)

✓
Vegas line is 11.50

Moderate 1.60-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 19 games, std dev 2.77

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 10.00
Last 5 Games Average 9.80
Vegas Line 11.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM