TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Patrick Williams

PTS

OVER 10.50
High Confidence +175

Vegas Line

10.50

Player Average

6.55

Season: 7.30 | L5: 5.80

Deviation

+3.95

77% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.95 points BELOW where this player typically performs (6.55)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 6.55

Weighted 50/50: Season (7.30) + Last 5 games (5.80)

✓
Vegas line is 10.50

Significant 3.95-point gap

✓
High confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 2.87

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 7.30
Last 5 Games Average 5.80
Vegas Line 10.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM