TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Jabari Smith Jr.

REB

OVER 7.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

7.50

Player Average

6.08

Season: 6.56 | L5: 5.60

Deviation

+1.42

62% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.42 points BELOW where this player typically performs (6.08)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 6.08

Weighted 50/50: Season (6.56) + Last 5 games (5.60)

Vegas line is 7.50

Moderate 1.42-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 2.34

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 6.56
Last 5 Games Average 5.60
Vegas Line 7.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM