"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 0.70 points BELOW where this player typically performs (0.80)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (1.00) + Last 5 games (0.60)
Small 0.70-point gap
Based on 19 games, std dev 0.73
fanatics
Dec 05, 07:10 PM
Dec 05, 04:31 PM