TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

James Harden

AST

OVER 10.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

10.50

Player Average

8.51

Season: 8.43 | L5: 8.60

Deviation

+1.99

62% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.99 points BELOW where this player typically performs (8.51)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 8.51

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.43) + Last 5 games (8.60)

Vegas line is 10.50

Moderate 1.99-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 3.32

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.43
Last 5 Games Average 8.60
Vegas Line 10.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM