TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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John Collins

PTS

OVER 16.50
Medium Confidence +185

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

13.42

Season: 12.05 | L5: 14.80

Deviation

+3.08

63% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.08 points BELOW where this player typically performs (13.42)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 13.42

Weighted 50/50: Season (12.05) + Last 5 games (14.80)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 3.08-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 4.76

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 12.05
Last 5 Games Average 14.80
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM