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James Harden

PTS

OVER 30.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

30.50

Player Average

25.33

Season: 26.86 | L5: 23.80

Deviation

+5.17

60% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 5.17 points BELOW where this player typically performs (25.33)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 25.33

Weighted 50/50: Season (26.86) + Last 5 games (23.80)

✓
Vegas line is 30.50

Significant 5.17-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 9.72

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 26.86
Last 5 Games Average 23.80
Vegas Line 30.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM