TakeFreePoints.com

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Chet Holmgren

PTS

OVER 21.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

21.50

Player Average

17.19

Season: 18.39 | L5: 16.00

Deviation

+4.31

62% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.31 points BELOW where this player typically performs (17.19)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 17.19

Weighted 50/50: Season (18.39) + Last 5 games (16.00)

✓
Vegas line is 21.50

Significant 4.31-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 7.00

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 18.39
Last 5 Games Average 16.00
Vegas Line 21.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM