TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Ajay Mitchell

PTS

OVER 17.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

17.50

Player Average

13.50

Season: 15.00 | L5: 12.00

Deviation

+4.00

65% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.00 points BELOW where this player typically performs (13.50)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 13.50

Weighted 50/50: Season (15.00) + Last 5 games (12.00)

✓
Vegas line is 17.50

Significant 4.00-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 5.37

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 15.00
Last 5 Games Average 12.00
Vegas Line 17.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM