TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Chet Holmgren

REB

OVER 10.50
Medium Confidence +150

Vegas Line

10.50

Player Average

8.30

Season: 8.00 | L5: 8.60

Deviation

+2.20

67% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.20 points BELOW where this player typically performs (8.30)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 8.30

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.00) + Last 5 games (8.60)

Vegas line is 10.50

Significant 2.20-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 2.47

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.00
Last 5 Games Average 8.60
Vegas Line 10.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 05, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM