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Ajay Mitchell

REB

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +120

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

2.95

Season: 3.50 | L5: 2.40

Deviation

+1.55

65% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.55 points BELOW where this player typically performs (2.95)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 2.95

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.50) + Last 5 games (2.40)

✓
Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.55-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 2.02

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.50
Last 5 Games Average 2.40
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

fanatics

Game Time

Dec 05, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM