TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Chet Holmgren

AST

UNDER 1.50
Medium Confidence +120

Vegas Line

1.50

Player Average

1.99

Season: 1.78 | L5: 2.20

Deviation

-0.49

60% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 0.49 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (1.99)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

Player averages 1.99

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.78) + Last 5 games (2.20)

Vegas line is 1.50

Small 0.49-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 0.92

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.78
Last 5 Games Average 2.20
Vegas Line 1.50
Bookmaker

fanatics

Game Time

Dec 05, 08:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 05, 04:31 PM