"Always take the free points"
AST
Vegas Line
Player Average
Deviation
Sample Size
Vegas set the line 1.12 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.38)
→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER
Weighted 50/50: Season (2.96) + Last 5 games (3.80)
Moderate 1.12-point gap
Based on 23 games, std dev 1.90
bovada
Dec 06, 04:10 PM
Dec 06, 10:51 AM