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Jeremiah Fears

AST

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +165

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

3.38

Season: 2.96 | L5: 3.80

Deviation

+1.12

61% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.12 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.38)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 3.38

Weighted 50/50: Season (2.96) + Last 5 games (3.80)

Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.12-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 1.90

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 2.96
Last 5 Games Average 3.80
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 04:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM