TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Jose Alvarado

PTS

UNDER 7.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

7.50

Player Average

11.55

Season: 9.09 | L5: 14.00

Deviation

-4.05

63% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 4.05 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (11.55)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

Player averages 11.55

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.09) + Last 5 games (14.00)

Vegas line is 7.50

Significant 4.05-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 6.01

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.09
Last 5 Games Average 14.00
Vegas Line 7.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 04:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM