TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Derik Queen

PTS

OVER 17.50
Medium Confidence +200

Vegas Line

17.50

Player Average

12.15

Season: 12.30 | L5: 12.00

Deviation

+5.35

65% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 5.35 points BELOW where this player typically performs (12.15)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 12.15

Weighted 50/50: Season (12.30) + Last 5 games (12.00)

✓
Vegas line is 17.50

Significant 5.35-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 7.04

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 12.30
Last 5 Games Average 12.00
Vegas Line 17.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 04:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM