TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Marvin Bagley III

PTS

OVER 16.50
High Confidence +175

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

10.02

Season: 8.65 | L5: 11.40

Deviation

+6.48

75% signal

Sample Size

17

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 6.48 points BELOW where this player typically performs (10.02)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 10.02

Weighted 50/50: Season (8.65) + Last 5 games (11.40)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 6.48-point gap

✓
High confidence signal

Based on 17 games, std dev 5.11

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 8.65
Last 5 Games Average 11.40
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM