TakeFreePoints.com

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Jalen Johnson

PTS

OVER 28.50
Medium Confidence +185

Vegas Line

28.50

Player Average

24.25

Season: 23.10 | L5: 25.40

Deviation

+4.25

62% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 4.25 points BELOW where this player typically performs (24.25)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 24.25

Weighted 50/50: Season (23.10) + Last 5 games (25.40)

✓
Vegas line is 28.50

Significant 4.25-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 6.91

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 23.10
Last 5 Games Average 25.40
Vegas Line 28.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 06:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM