TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Donovan Mitchell

PTS

UNDER 25.50
Medium Confidence +175

Vegas Line

25.50

Player Average

31.70

Season: 30.59 | L5: 32.80

Deviation

-6.20

65% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 6.20 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (31.70)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 31.70

Weighted 50/50: Season (30.59) + Last 5 games (32.80)

✓
Vegas line is 25.50

Significant 6.20-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 8.18

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 30.59
Last 5 Games Average 32.80
Vegas Line 25.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM