TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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John Collins

PTS

OVER 16.50
Medium Confidence +185

Vegas Line

16.50

Player Average

13.31

Season: 12.22 | L5: 14.40

Deviation

+3.19

63% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.19 points BELOW where this player typically performs (13.31)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 13.31

Weighted 50/50: Season (12.22) + Last 5 games (14.40)

✓
Vegas line is 16.50

Significant 3.19-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 4.73

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 12.22
Last 5 Games Average 14.40
Vegas Line 16.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM