TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

DeMar DeRozan

AST

OVER 4.50
Medium Confidence +155

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

3.10

Season: 3.41 | L5: 2.80

Deviation

+1.40

64% signal

Sample Size

22

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.40 points BELOW where this player typically performs (3.10)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 3.10

Weighted 50/50: Season (3.41) + Last 5 games (2.80)

Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.40-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 22 games, std dev 1.95

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 3.41
Last 5 Games Average 2.80
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM