TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Davion Mitchell

PTS

OVER 11.50
Medium Confidence +165

Vegas Line

11.50

Player Average

8.77

Season: 9.74 | L5: 7.80

Deviation

+2.73

62% signal

Sample Size

23

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.73 points BELOW where this player typically performs (8.77)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 8.77

Weighted 50/50: Season (9.74) + Last 5 games (7.80)

Vegas line is 11.50

Significant 2.73-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 23 games, std dev 4.33

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 9.74
Last 5 Games Average 7.80
Vegas Line 11.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:10 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM