TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

Back to Plays

Amen Thompson

AST

OVER 6.50
Medium Confidence +135

Vegas Line

6.50

Player Average

4.82

Season: 5.05 | L5: 4.60

Deviation

+1.68

63% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 1.68 points BELOW where this player typically performs (4.82)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

Player averages 4.82

Weighted 50/50: Season (5.05) + Last 5 games (4.60)

Vegas line is 6.50

Moderate 1.68-point gap

Medium confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 2.54

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 5.05
Last 5 Games Average 4.60
Vegas Line 6.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM