TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

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Josh Okogie

PTS

OVER 8.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

8.50

Player Average

5.15

Season: 6.50 | L5: 3.80

Deviation

+3.35

65% signal

Sample Size

20

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 3.35 points BELOW where this player typically performs (5.15)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 5.15

Weighted 50/50: Season (6.50) + Last 5 games (3.80)

✓
Vegas line is 8.50

Significant 3.35-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 20 games, std dev 4.31

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 6.50
Last 5 Games Average 3.80
Vegas Line 8.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM