TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Kevin Durant

FG3M

OVER 2.50
Medium Confidence +190

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

1.79

Season: 1.78 | L5: 1.80

Deviation

+0.71

63% signal

Sample Size

18

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.71 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.79)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 1.79

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.78) + Last 5 games (1.80)

✓
Vegas line is 2.50

Small 0.71-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 18 games, std dev 1.03

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.78
Last 5 Games Average 1.80
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 10:51 AM