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Ausar Thompson

PTS

OVER 13.50
Medium Confidence +175

Vegas Line

13.50

Player Average

10.97

Season: 11.74 | L5: 10.20

Deviation

+2.53

61% signal

Sample Size

19

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 2.53 points BELOW where this player typically performs (10.97)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 10.97

Weighted 50/50: Season (11.74) + Last 5 games (10.20)

✓
Vegas line is 13.50

Significant 2.53-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 19 games, std dev 4.39

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 11.74
Last 5 Games Average 10.20
Vegas Line 13.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 06, 06:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 02:25 PM