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Jabari Smith Jr.

AST

OVER 2.50
Medium Confidence +145

Vegas Line

2.50

Player Average

1.79

Season: 1.79 | L5: 1.80

Deviation

+0.71

60% signal

Sample Size

19

games played

💡 Why OVER?

Vegas set the line 0.71 points BELOW where this player typically performs (1.79)

→ They expect the player to overperform → Bet OVER

✓
Player averages 1.79

Weighted 50/50: Season (1.79) + Last 5 games (1.80)

✓
Vegas line is 2.50

Small 0.71-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 19 games, std dev 1.36

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 1.79
Last 5 Games Average 1.80
Vegas Line 2.50
Bookmaker

betmgm

Game Time

Dec 06, 07:40 PM

Analysis Created

Dec 06, 02:25 PM