TakeFreePoints.com

"Always take the free points"

← Back to Plays

Josh Hart

AST

UNDER 4.50
Medium Confidence +180

Vegas Line

4.50

Player Average

5.80

Season: 5.19 | L5: 6.40

Deviation

-1.30

60% signal

Sample Size

21

games played

💡 Why UNDER?

Vegas set the line 1.30 points ABOVE where this player typically performs (5.80)

→ They expect the player to underperform → Bet UNDER

✓
Player averages 5.80

Weighted 50/50: Season (5.19) + Last 5 games (6.40)

✓
Vegas line is 4.50

Moderate 1.30-point gap

✓
Medium confidence signal

Based on 21 games, std dev 2.48

Visual Breakdown

Season Average 5.19
Last 5 Games Average 6.40
Vegas Line 4.50
Bookmaker

bovada

Game Time

Dec 07, 11:00 AM

Analysis Created

Dec 07, 10:49 AM